The Economist Intelligence Unit expects that total healthcare expenditure as a percentage of GDP will rise gradually over the forecast period, to 11.7% in 2019. The ratio was stable at 11.3% in 2013, according to the OECD, and is forecast to rise slowly as the population ages.
We expect total healthcare spending to increase by an annual average of 3.3% in local-currency terms over the forecast period, to €38ibn in 2019. Growth in US dollar terms will be weaker, averaging less than 2% a year, reflecting our projection for the US currency to appreciate against the euro in the coming years.
The proportion of the population aged 65 or older already exceeds one in five (behind only Italy and Japan among OECD countries), and is forecast to rise gradually to 23% by 2019, by which time only Japan will have a higher ratio.

Healthcare report 5

Healthcare spending 5

Healthcare provision 8

Pharma and biotech 9

Disease trends 12

Industry publishing schedule 15

中国科学技术信息研究所