The Economist Intelligence Unit expects Qatar to remain politically stable in 2015-19 under the rule of the youthful emir, Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani.
We expect the fiscal surplus to fluctuate with oil and gas prices. The surplus will fall sharply in 2015, before generally recovering over the following three years until 2019/20 (April-March), when there will be a small deficit.
The current-account surplus will narrow sharply in 2015, owing to the steep oil price fall. In 2016-19 export revenue will recover as oil prices increase, and the current-account surplus will widen to an annual average of 3.7% of GDP.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 10

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 13

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 19

Monthly trends charts 20

Comparative economic indicators 21

Basic data 22

Political structure 23

Politics 24

Economy 34

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