The ability of the president, Otto Perez Molina of the right-wing Partido Patriota, to advance his agenda in the rest of his term will be limited by a fragmented legislature, weak institutions and pervasive corruption.
Even assuming that US demand increases slightly in the medium term (therefore boosting investment and exports), GDP growth will average just 3.4% per year in 2015-19 as productivity remains low.
The current-account deficit will average 2.6% of GDP in 2015-19 owing to a persistently large trade deficit, while remittances will grow only moderately. Foreign investment will rise gradually, providing a degree of stability.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Economic policy outlook 9

Economic forecast 11

Annual data and forecast 14

Quarterly data 15

Monthly data 16

Annual trends charts 18

Monthly trends charts 19

Comparative economic indicators 20

Basic data 21

Political structure 22

Politics 23

Economy 36

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