书名：Profitability Forecast
出版时间：2018
出版社：Nexant,Inc.
摘要
This report provides profitability and price projections to 2035 for chlor-alkali, ethylene dichloride, vinyl chloride mononer and polyvinyl chloride. The main price setting regions of Asia Pacific, Western Europe and the United States are analysed.
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目录
1 Executive Summary 1
1.1 Introduction 1
2 Economic Assumptions and Forecasting Methodology 2
2.1 Introduction 2
2.2 Scenarios 3
2.3 Crude Oil 4
2.3.1 Crude Oil Price Basis 4
2.3.2 Crude Oil Scenarios 4
2.3.3 Low Crude Oil Price 6
2.3.4 Medium Crude Oil Price 6
2.3.5 High Crude Oil Price 7
2.4 Economic Growth 8
2.4.1 Forecasting Methodology/Assumptions 8
2.4.2 Global Economic Growth 8
2.5 Inflation 11
2.6 Exchange Rates 12
2.6.1 Forecasting Methodology and Assumptions 12
2.6.2 Outlook for the Euro 12
2.7 Profitability Forecasting Methodology 13
2.7.1 Introduction 13
2.7.2 Price Influences 14
2.7.3 Petrochemical Production Costs 16
2.7.4 Driving Forces for Profitability 18
2.7.5 Cyclicality of the Petrochemical Industry 22
3 Petrochemical and Polymer Industry Profitability 24
3.1 Asia Pacific 24
3.2 United States 26
3.3 Western Europe 28
4 Petrochemical Feedstocks and Refined Products Pricing 30
4.1 Naphtha 32
4.2 Gasoline 33
4.3 Fuel Oil 34
4.4 Natural Gas 35
4.5 Ethane 36
4.6 Propane 37
4.7 Coal 38
5 Chlor-alkali 39
5.1.1 Introduction 39
5.1.2 Pricing Basis and Mechanism 39
5.1.3 Regional Price Definitions 40
5.2 Asia Pacific 41
5.2.1 Profitability Projections 41
5.2.2 Price Projections 42
5.3 United States 43
5.3.1 Profitability Projections 43
5.3.2 Price Projections 45
5.4 Western Europe 47
5.4.1 Profitability Projections 47
5.4.2 Price Projections 49
6 Ethylene Dichloride (EDC) 51
6.1 Introduction 51
6.1.1 Pricing Basis and Mechanism 51
6.1.2 Regional Price Definitions 51
6.2 Asia Pacific 52
6.2.1 Profitability Projections 52
6.2.2 Price Projections 55
6.3 United States 56
6.3.1 Profitability Projections 56
6.3.2 Price Projections 59
6.4 Western Europe 60
6.4.1 Profitability Projections 60
6.4.2 Price Projections 63
6.5 Regional Price Spreads 64
7 Vinyl Chloride Monomer (VCM) 65
7.1 Introduction 65
7.1.1 Pricing Basis and Mechanism 65
7.1.2 Regional Price Definitions 65
7.2 Asia Pacific 66
7.2.1 Profitability Projections 66
7.2.2 Price Projections 69
7.3 United States 71
C\7.3.1 Profitability Projections 71
7.3.2 Price Projections 73
7.4 Western Europe 74
7.4.1 Profitability Projections 74
7.4.2 Price Projections 77
7.5 Regional Price Spreads 78
8 Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) 80
8.1 Introduction 80
8.1.1 Pricing Basis and Mechanism 80
8.1.2 Regional Price Definitions 80
8.2 Asia Pacific 81
8.2.1 Profitability Projections 81
8.2.2 Price Projections 84
8.3 United States 85
8.3.1 Profitability Projections 85
8.3.2 Price Projections 87
8.4 Western Europe 88
8.4.1 Profitability Projections 88
8.4.2 Price Projections 91
8.5 Regional Price Spreads 92
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